Department of Economics
Dissertation Proposal Form
An electronic copy of this form is to be completed and uploaded by the student on ECN Masters MOLE (the link is << Dissertation Proposal 2016 >>) by 2.00 p.m. Friday 13th May 2016.
1. Suggested Title
The effects of monetary policy on real estate prices in China
2. Please identify the ONE academic paper most closely related to your intended research
Hu, B. and Zhang , H. (2013). “Study on the transmission mechanism of China’s monetary policy in controlling real estate prices”. Iccrem, 2015, 67(5): 1054-1062
3.Identify which datasets you will use in your dissertation and indicate their availability to you
1. People’s bank of China statistics database
2. China monthly economic indicators
3. the financial database of Chinese academy of social sciences
4. Please state your basic estimating equation. Please also state main hypotheses to be tested.
Dependent variable: real estate prices
Independent variables: money supply, credit loan, interest rate
Main hypotheses: 1. whether time series are stationary or not
2. whether a linear combination of a set of non-stationary series has a cointegration relationship or not
5. Brief description of the econometric techniques to be used. Explain how this fits with the data identified in (3) and how this tests the hypothesis in (4).
Economic techniques: ADF test, Johansen cointegration test, maybe granger causality test.
Explanation: ADF test for testing whether above for time series are stationary or not. If not, use cointegration test to set a combination of above four variables with a cointegration relationship.
granger causality test to know which is the most effective independent variable for real estate prices.
The Department will not accept submission of a Dissertation that does not have an approved proposal document. If you should change your topic at any time you must resubmit a completed Dissertation Proposal Form to Dr Arne Risa Hole or Dr Kostas Mouratidis and await approval.
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